Gazing into the future of a carbon market, two things seem certain: a fundamental change to the economy and sweeping land reforms.
There are two well known and highly charged sayings about land:
- —–agriculture is the foundation of economic growth
—–all land use is inherently political
The fast approaching world of a carbon market could see how we use land becoming the most important issue in stopping climate change becoming a disaster for mankind.
Forestry immediately springs to mind. The Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change in 2009 is expected to incorporate rainforests into global emissions trading, and many carbon offsetting schemes rely upon plant-a-tree initiatives.
Biofuel crops are another example. These are being developed for agricultural use with the twin aim of reducing carbon emissions and providing an alternative for ever more expensive petroleum based gas.
What is more, wetlands are a global habitat available across the world in all climatic conditions. Their use, management and preservation look set to becoming an imperative in staving off runaway climate change.
Rethinking Environmental Management and Land Use
[social_buttons]However, it need not end there. Initiatives to work with the natural environment instead of seeking to dominate it should be developed alongside technical and scientific efforts to combat climate change.
For example, the EU has been tinkering with a policy of requiring proportion farmland be “set aside” for wildlife for over two decades.
The policy is a direct acknowledgement that we rely upon local and global network of interlinking eco-systems and similar realisation of the interconnected ecology of our environment seems to be growing at the highest levels in the USA.
From the perspective of a carbon market, this realisation could place the Bureau of Land Management, private farmers and various conservation groups at the heart of a carbon neutral economy.
A new Land Management sector could emerge, unifying these now disparate concerns and making them as powerful as oil is today. However, such a shift would also be inherently political.
The USA may have elected a “time for change” president, but there are other, deeper changes going on whose ultimate outcome no politician or economist can fully predict.
The challenges and changes are only just beginning.